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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Genoa
S T U U T
2–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
86%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
7 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Sassuolo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 8 7 1 0 +11 22
2 Napoli 7 7 0 0 +15 21
3 Inter 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Roma 7 5 0 2 +8 15
5 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Fiorentina 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Juventus 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Atalanta 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Bologna 7 3 2 2 -2 11
10 Empoli 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Torino 7 2 2 3 +2 8
12 Verona 8 2 2 4 +0 8
13 Udinese 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Sassuolo 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Spezia 8 2 1 5 -10 7
16 Sampdoria 8 1 3 4 -5 6
17 Cagliari 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -6 5
19 Venezia 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Salernitana 8 1 1 6 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Sassuolo
17′
G. Scamacca 0–1
20′
G. Scamacca 0–2
1–2 M. Destro
M. Fares
27′
32′
🟨 Davide Frattesi
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ S. Sabelli
32′
Davide Biraschi 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Vlad Chiricheş
Half-time 1–2
Y. Kallon 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
46′
A. Cambiaso 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
50′
61′
🔁 A. Harroui
↦ G. Raspadori
Mattia Destro 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ G. Scamacca
74′
🔁 G. Kiriakopoulos
↦ F. Đuričić
V. Behrami 🔁
↦ A. Touré
76′
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
76′
82′
🟨 Abdou Harroui
88′
🟨 Jeremy Toljan
2–2 J. Vásquez
N. Rovella
89′
92′
🔁 F. Magnanelli
↦ D. Berardi
92′
🔁 E. Goldaniga
↦ M. Lopez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
57 S. Sirigu G
4 D. Criscito D
2 S. Sabelli M
14 D. Biraschi D
15 J. Vásquez D
47 M. Badelj M
94 A. Touré M
93 M. Fares M
65 N. Rovella M
19 G. Pandev F
23 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
20 C. Ekuban
91 Y. Kallon
50 A. Cambiaso
11 V. Behrami
9 F. Caicedo
90 M. Portanova
10 F. Melegoni
5 A. Masiello
22 F. Marchetti
18 P. Ghiglione
27 S. Sturaro
1 A. Šemper

Coach: D. Ballardini

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
47 A. Consigli G
21 V. Chiricheș D
22 J. Toljan D
31 G. Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
10 F. Đuričić M
8 M. Lopez M
16 D. Frattesi M
25 D. Berardi M
91 G. Scamacca F
18 G. Raspadori M
Bench (10)
20 A. Harroui
92 G. Defrel
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
4 F. Magnanelli
3 E. Goldaniga
97 Matheus Henrique
24 G. Satalino
17 M. Müldür
56 G. Pegolo
13 F. Peluso

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
3,45
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.