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Serie A
Referee: P Giacomelli
Roma
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
56%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 6. · Sampdoria 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 13 4 1 +33 43
2 Napoli 18 12 3 3 +22 39
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 +16 39
4 Atalanta 19 11 5 3 +14 38
5 Juventus 19 10 4 5 +10 34
6 Roma 18 10 1 7 +10 31
7 Fiorentina 18 10 1 7 +9 31
8 Lazio 19 9 4 6 +5 31
9 Empoli 18 8 3 7 -2 27
10 Bologna 19 8 3 8 -4 27
11 Torino 18 7 4 7 +5 25
12 Sassuolo 19 6 6 7 -1 24
13 Verona 18 6 5 7 +2 23
14 Udinese 18 4 8 6 -2 20
15 Sampdoria 18 5 4 9 -8 19
16 Venezia 19 4 5 10 -16 17
17 Spezia 18 3 4 11 -21 13
18 Genoa 19 1 8 10 -18 11
19 Cagliari 19 1 7 11 -23 10
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Sampdoria
37′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ A. Ekdal
44′
🟨 Bartosz Bereszyński
Half-time 0–0
F. Ohene-Gyan 🔁
↦ T. Abraham
47′
60′
🟨 Wladimiro Falcone
61′
🟨 Kristoffer Askildsen
E. Shomurodov 🔁
↦ M. Viña
67′
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
67′
1–0 E. Shomurodov
72′
76′
🔁 F. Quagliarella
↦ F. Caputo
76′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ B. Bereszyński
80′
M. Gabbiadini 1–1
89′
🔁 F. Depaoli
↦ A. Candreva
89′
🔁 Gerard Yepes
↦ K. Askildsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Roma

3-1-4-2
1 Rui Patrício G
6 C. Smalling D
2 R. Karsdorp M
23 G. Mancini D
5 M. Viña M
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan M
17 J. Veretout M
4 B. Cristante M
22 N. Zaniolo F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
64 F. Ohene-Gyan
14 E. Shomurodov
92 S. El Shaarawy
24 M. Kumbulla
13 R. Calafiori
21 Borja Mayoral
11 Carles Pérez
52 E. Bove
55 E. Darboe
8 Gonzalo Villar
42 A. Diawara
87 Daniel Fuzato

Coach: José Mourinho

Sampdoria

4-4-2
33 W. Falcone G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
5 Adrien Silva M
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
16 K. Askildsen M
10 F. Caputo F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (11)
25 A. Ferrari
27 F. Quagliarella
11 R. Ciervo
12 F. Depaoli
28 Gerard Yepes
4 J. Chabot
30 N. Ravaglia
29 N. Murru
9 E. Torregrossa
19 R. Drăgușin
1 E. Audero

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
4,32
B
5,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Giacomelli · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.