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Serie A
Referee: M Marcenaro
Juventus
U U S U T
2–2
Full-time
Salernitana
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
6 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juventus 9. · Salernitana 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Atalanta 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Milan 6 4 2 0 +6 14
4 Udinese 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Inter 6 4 0 2 +4 12
6 Lazio 6 3 2 1 +4 11
7 Roma 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Torino 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Juventus 5 2 3 0 +5 9
10 Salernitana 5 1 3 1 +3 6
11 Fiorentina 6 1 3 2 -1 6
12 Bologna 6 1 3 2 -2 6
13 Sassuolo 6 1 3 2 -4 6
14 Verona 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Spezia 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Empoli 5 0 4 1 -1 4
17 Lecce 6 0 3 3 -3 3
18 Cremonese 6 0 2 4 -5 2
19 Sampdoria 6 0 2 4 -8 2
20 Monza 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Salernitana
18′
A. Candreva 0–1
P. Mazzocchi
Leandro Paredes 🟨
27′
Moise Kean 🟨
32′
38′
🟨 Giulio Maggiore
Half-time 0–1
A. Milik 🔁
↦ M. Kean
46′
Bremer 🟨
49′
49′
ℹ️ Krzysztof Piątek
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
K. Piątek 0–2
1–2 Bremer
F. Kostić
51′
53′
🟨 Federico Fazio
55′
🟨 Krzysztof Piątek
61′
🔁 E. Botheim
↦ K. Piątek
Alex Sandro 🔁
↦ M. De Sciglio
62′
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
62′
72′
🟨 Luigi Sepe
Danilo 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
78′
81′
🔁 F. Bonazzoli
↦ B. Dia
81′
🔁 G. Kastanos
↦ G. Maggiore
Arkadiusz Milik 🟨
83′
M. Soulé 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
85′
2–2 L. Bonucci
93′
Arkadiusz Milik 🟨
96′
Juan Cuadrado 🟥
96′
Arkadiusz Milik 🟥
96′
96′
🟥 Federico Fazio
Arkadiusz Milik ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
98′
100′
🔁 J. Sambia
↦ T. Vilhena
100′
🔁 N. Gyömbér
↦ E. Botheim
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Juventus

4-3-3
36 M. Perin G
11 J. Cuadrado D
19 L. Bonucci D
3 Bremer D
2 M. De Sciglio D
8 W. McKennie M
32 L. Paredes M
20 F. Miretti M
18 M. Kean F
9 D. Vlahović F
17 F. Kostić F
Bench (10)
14 A. Milik
12 Alex Sandro
44 N. Fagioli
6 Danilo
30 M. Soulé
15 F. Gatti
41 G. Garofani
23 C. Pinsoglio
24 D. Rugani
43 S. Iling-Junior

Coach: M. Allegri

Salernitana

3-5-2
33 L. Sepe G
2 D. Bronn D
5 F. Daniliuc D
17 F. Fazio D
87 A. Candreva M
10 T. Vilhena M
25 G. Maggiore M
18 L. Coulibaly M
30 P. Mazzocchi M
99 K. Piątek F
29 B. Dia F
Bench (13)
11 E. Botheim
9 F. Bonazzoli
20 G. Kastanos
6 J. Sambia
23 N. Gyömbér
71 J. De Matteis
14 D. Valencia
98 L. Pirola
39 A. Iervolino
3 D. Bradarić
1 V. Fiorillo
35 A. Moțoc
28 L. Capezzi

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,41
U ✓
4,73
B
8,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.