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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Udinese
U T S U T
3–3
Full-time
Verona
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 12%
8%
15%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
31%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,91 xG 1,41
39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 16. · Verona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Juventus 14 10 3 1 +13 +13.9 33
2 Inter 13 10 2 1 +23 +17.0 32
3 Milan 14 9 2 3 +9 +3.6 29
4 Napoli 13 7 3 3 +12 +14.1 24
5 Bologna 14 5 7 2 +5 +3.4 22
6 Roma 13 6 3 4 +10 +6.4 21
7 Atalanta 13 6 2 5 +8 +3.9 20
8 Fiorentina 13 6 2 5 +3 -3.5 20
9 Lazio 14 6 2 6 +0 +2.7 20
10 Monza 14 4 6 4 +1 -2.4 18
11 Frosinone 14 5 3 6 -4 -6.2 18
12 Lecce 14 3 7 4 -3 -7.8 16
13 Torino 13 4 4 5 -6 -2.5 16
14 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 -4 -6.2 15
15 Genoa 14 4 3 7 -4 -1.2 15
16 Udinese 13 1 8 4 -9 +0.4 11
17 Empoli 14 3 2 9 -17 -6.8 11
18 Cagliari 14 2 4 8 -13 -5.5 10
19 Verona 13 2 3 8 -9 -9.5 9
20 Salernitana 13 1 5 7 -15 -13.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Verona
6′
🟨 Milan Đurić
L. Lucca 🔁
↦ I. Success
7′
1–0 C. Kabasele
L. Samardžić
16′
2–0 L. Lucca
R. Pereyra
30′
37′
M. Đurić 2–1
Jordan Zemura 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–1
Martín Payero 🟨
46′
49′
🟨 Bruno Amione
50′
🟨 Diego Coppola
61′
C. Ngonge 2–2
T. Suslov
S. Lovrić 🔁
↦ F. Ebosele
66′
F. Thauvin 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
66′
3–2 L. Lucca
F. Thauvin
72′
79′
🔁 F. Bonazzoli
↦ M. Đurić
82′
🟨 Cyril Ngonge
84′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ D. Lazović
H. Kamara 🔁
↦ J. Zemura
88′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ M. Payero
88′
89′
🟨 Thomas Henry
97′
T. Henry 3–3
C. Ngonge
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-1-1
1 M. Silvestri G
13 João Ferreira D
27 C. Kabasele D
18 N. Pérez D
2 F. Ebosele M
24 L. Samardžić M
11 Walace M
32 M. Payero M
33 J. Zemura M
37 R. Pereyra F
7 I. Success F
Bench (15)
17 L. Lucca
4 S. Lovrić
26 F. Thauvin
12 H. Kamara
19 K. Ehizibue
3 A. Masina
93 D. Padelli
8 Domingos Quina
31 T. Kristensen
15 M. Aké
16 A. Tikvić
40 M. Okoye
5 A. Guessand
21 E. Camara
6 Oier Zarraga

Coach: G. Cioffi

Verona

4-2-3-1
1 L. Montipò G
38 J. Tchatchoua D
42 D. Coppola D
2 B. Amione D
24 F. Terracciano D
90 M. Folorunsho M
33 O. Duda M
31 T. Suslov M
26 C. Ngonge M
8 D. Lazović M
11 M. Đurić F
Bench (14)
99 F. Bonazzoli
9 T. Henry
13 J. Cruz
37 Charlys
75 N. Calabrese
18 M. Hongla
22 A. Berardi
17 Y. Kallon
25 S. Serdar
3 J. Doig
5 M. Faraoni
77 Jordi Mboula
32 J. Cabal
34 S. Perilli

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
3,67
B
5,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.