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Serie A

Referee: V Crezzini

Udinese

T T T U S

1–2

Full-time

Monza

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,2

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 20%

34%

Points per game

1,3

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

49%

Both score Ø 51%

51%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 1,60

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 12. · Monza 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	35	23	8	4	+30	+20.2	77
2	Inter	35	22	8	5	+40	+31.6	74
3	Atalanta	35	20	8	7	+40	+26.2	68
4	Juventus	36	16	16	4	+20	+13.4	64
5	Lazio	36	18	10	8	+13	+16.8	64
6	Roma	35	18	9	8	+18	+12.2	63
7	Bologna	36	16	14	6	+13	+11.7	62
8	Milan	36	17	9	10	+18	+20.9	60
9	Fiorentina	35	17	8	10	+18	+5.9	59
10	Como	36	13	9	14	-1	+2.1	48
11	Torino	35	10	14	11	-1	-13.6	44
12	Udinese	35	12	8	15	-11	-9.6	44
13	Genoa	35	9	12	14	-13	-8.5	39
14	Cagliari	36	8	9	19	-17	-12.3	33
15	Parma	36	6	14	16	-15	-14.2	32
16	Verona	35	9	5	21	-33	-19.6	32
17	Empoli	36	5	13	18	-27	-18.0	28
18	Lecce	35	6	9	20	-33	-22.8	27
19	Venezia	35	4	14	17	-21	-19.0	26
20	Monza	35	2	9	24	-38	-23.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	18	13	3	2	+19	+15.8	42
2	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+17	+15.2	41
3	Roma	18	12	2	4	+20	+10.2	38
4	Bologna	18	10	7	1	+17	+14.5	37
5	Juventus	18	10	7	1	+14	+9.4	37
6	Fiorentina	18	11	4	3	+13	+8.5	37
7	Milan	18	8	7	3	+12	+10.5	31
8	Lazio	18	7	9	2	+8	+11.6	30
9	Atalanta	17	8	5	4	+12	+11.1	29
10	Como	18	8	5	5	+4	+3.4	29
11	Torino	17	6	7	4	+3	-5.0	25
12	Udinese	17	7	3	7	-3	-5.1	24
13	Genoa	18	5	7	6	-3	-2.3	22
14	Parma	18	5	5	8	-3	-0.9	20
15	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-7	-2.2	19
16	Venezia	17	4	5	8	-5	-2.4	17
17	Lecce	18	3	6	9	-19	-8.6	15
18	Verona	17	4	3	10	-21	-5.9	15
19	Empoli	18	2	7	9	-15	-9.0	13
20	Monza	18	1	5	12	-16	-8.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+28	+15.0	39
2	Napoli	18	10	6	2	+13	+5.0	36
3	Lazio	18	11	1	6	+5	+5.2	34
4	Inter	17	9	5	3	+21	+15.8	32
5	Milan	18	9	2	7	+6	+10.3	29
6	Juventus	18	6	9	3	+6	+4.0	27
7	Roma	17	6	7	4	-2	+2.0	25
8	Bologna	18	6	7	5	-4	-2.8	25
9	Fiorentina	17	6	4	7	+5	-2.6	22
10	Udinese	18	5	5	8	-8	-4.5	20
11	Torino	18	4	7	7	-4	-8.6	19
12	Como	18	5	4	9	-5	-1.2	19
13	Genoa	17	4	5	8	-10	-6.2	17
14	Verona	18	5	2	11	-12	-13.7	17
15	Empoli	18	3	6	9	-12	-9.0	15
16	Cagliari	18	3	5	10	-10	-10.0	14
17	Parma	18	1	9	8	-12	-13.4	12
18	Lecce	17	3	3	11	-14	-14.2	12
19	Venezia	18	0	9	9	-16	-16.6	9
20	Monza	17	1	4	12	-22	-14.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.