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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Strasbourg
U U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Metz
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Marseille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Metz
15′
🟨 Thomas Delaine
J. Bellegarde 🔁
↦ Y. Fofana
20′
1–0 A. Thomasson
D. Liénard
21′
Half-time 1–1
47′
H. Diallo 1–1
O. Nguette
Nuno Da Costa 🔁
↦ J. Bellegarde
76′
76′
🔁 I. Niane
↦ F. Boulaya
76′
🔁 M. Gakpa
↦ O. Nguette
L. Zohi 🔁
↦ L. Ajorque
87′
89′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ R. Cohade
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-5-1-1
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole M
27 K. Lala M
24 A. Djiku D
8 J. Martin M
11 D. Liénard M
26 A. Thomasson F
22 Y. Fofana M
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (7)
17 J. Bellegarde
29 Nuno Da Costa
20 L. Zohi
3 A. N'Dour
2 M. Simakan
10 B. Corgnet
30 B. Kamara

Coach: T. Laurey

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
13 S. Sunzu D
17 T. Delaine D
18 F. Centonze D
24 R. Cohade M
11 O. Nguette
27 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
6 M. Fofana D
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (7)
7 I. Niane
10 M. Gakpa
5 V. Angban
28 M. Cabit
1 P. Delecroix
9 T. Ambrose
21 J. Boye

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,23
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.