Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strasbourg
Metz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |
Angers
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
St Etienne
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Brest
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Dijon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Amiens
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Nantes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Bordeaux
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Monaco
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sels
G
K. Lala
M
J. Martin
M
A. Thomasson
F
Y. Fofana
M
L. Ajorque
F
Coach: T. Laurey
H. Diallo
F
Coach: V. Hognon
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nantes
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Rennes
Dijon
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Marseille
Amiens
Strasbourg
A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.