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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
St Truiden
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Standard
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
2,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Truiden 18. · Standard 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Antwerp 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Standard 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Gent 2 1 1 0 +5 4
7 Kortrijk 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Anderlecht 4 0 3 1 -1 3
11 Genk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Charleroi 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Eupen 4 0 2 2 -8 2
15 Waasland-Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Cercle Brugge 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 St Truiden 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Standard
9′
🟨 Maxime Lestienne
23′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
1–0 A. De Bruyn
Pol García
29′
2–0 H. Masoudi
W. Janssens
37′
Half-time 2–0
Wolke Janssens 🟨
54′
55′
🔁 P. M'Poku
↦ A. Limbombe
58′
P. M'Poku 2–1
Thibault De Smet 🟨
59′
E. Acolatse 🔁
↦ T. De Smet
61′
W. Endo 🔁
↦ S. Mmaee
65′
Jorge Teixeira 🟨
67′
S. Van Dessel 🔁
↦ H. Masoudi
69′
75′
🔁 A. Boljević
↦ M. Vojvoda
80′
🔁 D. Čop
↦ M. Lestienne
Daniel Schmidt 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Mehdi Carcela-González
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
4 Pol García D
20 S. Mmaee D
28 T. De Smet D
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
70 H. Masoudi
11 Y. Boli F
14 A. De Bruyn
22 W. Janssens F
Bench (7)
29 E. Acolatse
33 W. Endo
19 S. Van Dessel
13 M. Wenssens
50 Alan Sousa
30 N. Balongo
9 Y. Suzuki

Coach: M. Brys

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
36 N. Dussenne D
6 M. Kosanović D
24 N. Gavory D
27 M. Vojvoda D
10 M. Carcela M
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
14 A. Limbombe F
28 S. Bastien M
9 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
40 P. M'Poku
18 A. Boljević
35 D. Čop
23 S. Miangue
20 M. Bokadi
2 R. Goreux
30 V. Savić

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,25
U
3,88
B
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.