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Ligue 1
Referee: Thomas Leonard
Strasbourg
U T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Rennes
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 30%
28%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 67%
69%
64%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 11. · Rennes 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 28 4 4 +68 88
2 Lille 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Lyon 36 19 9 8 +18 66
4 St Etienne 36 18 8 10 +15 62
5 Montpellier 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Marseille 36 16 7 13 +4 55
7 Nice 36 14 11 11 -4 53
8 Nimes 36 15 7 14 +0 52
9 Reims 36 11 16 9 -6 49
10 Nantes 36 13 8 15 +1 47
11 Strasbourg 36 10 16 10 +11 46
12 Rennes 36 11 13 12 -1 46
13 Angers 36 10 15 11 +0 45
14 Bordeaux 36 9 11 16 -8 38
15 Toulouse 36 8 14 14 -18 38
16 Amiens 36 8 11 17 -20 35
17 Monaco 36 7 12 17 -19 33
18 Caen 36 7 12 17 -20 33
19 Dijon 36 8 7 21 -26 31
20 Guingamp 36 5 11 20 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Rennes
Anthony Caci 🟨
23′
24′
B. Bourigeaud 0–1
45′
🟨 Eduardo Camavinga
Half-time 0–1
L. Mothiba 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
65′
66′
🔁 J. Lea Siliki
↦ B. Bourigeaud
72′
🔁 J. Gelin
↦ J. Johansson
L. Zohi 🔁
↦ A. Gonçalves
77′
81′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ E. Camavinga
83′
🟨 Tomáš Koubek
B. Corgnet 🔁
↦ Nuno Da Costa
84′
90′
A. Hunou 0–2
J. Lea Siliki
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Strasbourg

5-3-2
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
27 K. Lala D
19 A. Caci D
17 A. Gonçalves M
14 S. Prcić M
11 D. Liénard D
26 A. Thomasson M
29 Nuno Da Costa F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (7)
12 L. Mothiba
20 L. Zohi
10 B. Corgnet
3 A. N'Dour
16 E. Kawashima
18 I. Sissoko
23 L. Carole

Coach: T. Laurey

Rennes

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
5 S. Doumbia D
6 J. Johansson M
8 C. Grenier F
14 B. Bourigeaud M
39 E. Camavinga M
11 M. Niang F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
12 J. Lea Siliki
26 J. Gelin
23 A. Hunou
31 S. Boey
16 A. Diallo
22 R. Del Castillo
35 N. Janvier

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Thomas Leonard · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.