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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
S S T T S
1–3
Full-time
Sogndal
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
69%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 15. · Sogndal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 16 13 2 1 +21 41
2 Sandefjord 17 11 4 2 +11 37
3 Start 17 11 2 4 +12 35
4 KFUM Oslo 17 9 3 5 +10 30
5 Raufoss 17 9 1 7 -3 28
6 Kongsvinger 17 8 3 6 +2 27
7 Sogndal 16 7 3 6 +6 24
8 Sandnes ULF 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Nest-Sotra 16 6 4 6 +3 22
10 Ull/Kisa 16 6 2 8 +5 20
11 Ham-Kam 16 5 4 7 -4 19
12 Jerv 16 3 7 6 -9 16
13 Strommen 16 3 6 7 -7 15
14 Skeid 16 3 5 8 -5 14
15 Notodden 16 4 1 11 -10 13
16 Tromsdalen Uil 16 0 2 14 -34 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Sogndal
1–0 S. Jenssen
16′
23′
A. Hoven 1–1
Half-time 1–1
67′
🔁 J. Soltvedt
↦ T. Totland
72′
🔁 Tomas Kristoffersen
↦ S. Mannsverk
72′
🔁 U. Flo
↦ A. Adams
M. Holmen 🟨
74′
M. Olsen 🟥
77′
78′
J. Soltvedt 1–2
M. Langset 🔁
↦ K. Tøsse
79′
81′
E. Schulze 1–3
M. Ledger 🔁
↦ H. Gustavsen
84′
S. Hansen 🔁
↦ G. Salasiwa
84′
90′
🟨 T. Kristoffersen
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
14 M. Olsen
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
10 E. Midtgarden
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
Bench (7)
24 M. Langset
6 M. Ledger
25 S. Hansen
4 M. Strange
15 E. Hagen
18 J. Robson
30 B. Grøtterud

Coach: K. Dokken

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
5 U. Fredriksen
2 T. Totland
30 I. Ogbu
35 E. Lereng
6 S. Ernemann
7 E. Schulze
24 S. Jensen
11 A. Hoven
23 S. Mannsverk
10 A. Adams
Bench (5)
15 J. Soltvedt
8 Tomas Kristoffersen
9 U. Flo
26 J. Fredriksen
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.