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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Newcastle
S S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Arsenal
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Apr -19 Arsenal – Newcastle 2–0 15. Sep -18 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 15. Apr -18 Newcastle – Arsenal 2–1 16. Dec -17 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 2. Jan -16 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0

Match report

Newcastle Arsenal
Miguel Almirón 🟨
18′
25′
🟨 Reiss Nelson
37′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Half-time 0–0
J. Willems 🔁
↦ J. Shelvey
54′
58′
⚽ P. Aubameyang 0–1
A. Maitland-Niles
64′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ J. Willock
A. Saint-Maximin 🔁
↦ S. Longstaff
67′
71′
🔁 N. Pépé
↦ R. Nelson
81′
🟨 Granit Xhaka
84′
🔁 Martinelli
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Newcastle

3-5-2
1 M. Dúbravka G
5 F. Schär D
6 J. Lascelles D
3 P. Dummett D
19 Javi Manquillo M
8 J. Shelvey M
11 M. Ritchie M
14 I. Hayden M
24 M. Almirón F
36 S. Longstaff M
9 Joelinton F
Bench (7)
15 J. Willems
10 A. Saint-Maximin
13 Y. Muto
26 K. Darlow
18 F. Fernández
2 C. Clark
17 E. Krafth

Coach: S. Bruce

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
18 Nacho Monreal D
5 S. Papastathopoulos D
21 C. Chambers D
7 H. Mkhitaryan M
34 G. Xhaka M
15 A. Maitland-Niles D
28 J. Willock M
29 M. Guendouzi M
14 P. Aubameyang F
24 R. Nelson M
Bench (7)
8 Dani Ceballos
19 N. Pépé
35 Martinelli
23 David Luiz
11 L. Torreira
26 E. Martínez
9 A. Lacazette

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,49
🔒
U
3,82
🔒
B ✓
1,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,77
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,07
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.