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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Paris SG
T U S S T
3–0
Full-time
Nimes
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

74% Possession 26%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Marseille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Nimes
1–0 E. Cavani
24′
Marco Verratti 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Mbappé
Juan Bernat
56′
Julian Draxler 🟨
61′
Á. Di María 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
64′
3–0 Á. Di María
K. Mbappé
69′
73′
🔁 H. Duljević
↦ R. Philippoteaux
T. Meunier 🔁
↦ T. Kehrer
75′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ Thiago Silva
80′
80′
🔁 P. Valdivia
↦ G. Paquiez
89′
🔁 T. Sainte-Luce
↦ T. Valls
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
5 Marquinhos M
14 Juan Bernat D
4 T. Kehrer D
22 A. Diallo D
6 M. Verratti M
19 Pablo Sarabia F
23 J. Draxler M
9 E. Cavani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
11 Á. Di María
12 T. Meunier
8 L. Paredes
30 M. Bulka
20 L. Kurzawa
17 E. Choupo-Moting
31 C. Dagba

Coach: T. Tuchel

Nimes

4-3-3
30 P. Bernardoni G
4 P. Martinez D
23 A. Briançon D
15 G. Paquiez M
26 F. Miguel D
29 S. Alakouch D
10 Z. Ferhat F
7 R. Philippoteaux F
18 T. Valls M
14 A. Bobichon M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
17 H. Duljević
8 P. Valdivia
3 T. Sainte-Luce
19 L. Buadés
27 K. Denkey
16 L. Dias
5 L. Landre

Coach: B. Blaquart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,10
U
9,77
B
23,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.