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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

St Etienne

U S S U T

4–1

Full-time

Nice

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

47%

80%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	0	3	+22	33
2	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+4	31
3	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+10	26
4	Lille	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Angers	16	7	3	6	-2	24
6	Montpellier	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Nantes	15	7	2	6	+0	23
8	Lyon	16	6	4	6	+8	22
9	St Etienne	15	6	4	5	-3	22
10	Rennes	14	6	3	5	+3	21
11	Reims	15	5	6	4	+3	21
12	Brest	16	5	6	5	+2	21
13	Nice	15	6	2	7	-2	20
14	Monaco	14	5	3	6	-3	18
15	Strasbourg	16	5	3	8	-5	18
16	Amiens	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Metz	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-7	15
19	Nimes	15	2	6	7	-12	12
20	Toulouse	15	3	3	9	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Angers	9	6	1	2	+9	19
3	Montpellier	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Paris SG	7	6	0	1	+16	18
5	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Brest	9	4	4	1	+9	16
7	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+9	14
9	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Nice	8	4	2	2	+2	14
11	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
12	Rennes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
13	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+6	11
14	Reims	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Dijon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
16	St Etienne	7	2	4	1	+1	10
17	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Metz	7	2	3	2	+1	9
19	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	-3	9
20	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+0	14
3	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+1	12
4	St Etienne	8	4	0	4	-4	12
5	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Nice	7	2	0	5	-4	6
10	Amiens	8	1	3	4	-6	6
11	Metz	8	1	3	4	-8	6
12	Lille	8	1	2	5	-6	5
13	Monaco	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Brest	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Angers	7	1	2	4	-11	5
16	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-3	4
17	Dijon	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Strasbourg	8	1	1	6	-8	4
19	Nimes	9	0	4	5	-14	4
20	Toulouse	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.