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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

St Etienne

T S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Monaco

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

45%

82%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 15. · Monaco 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	0	3	+19	27
2	Angers	12	6	2	4	+1	20
3	Nantes	12	6	1	5	+0	19
4	Marseille	12	5	4	3	-2	19
5	Lille	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Reims	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Brest	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
10	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Amiens	12	4	4	4	-1	16
12	Nice	12	5	1	6	-3	16
13	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+1	15
14	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
15	St Etienne	11	4	3	4	-4	15
16	Dijon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
18	Toulouse	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Metz	12	3	3	6	-7	12
20	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+14	15
4	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Brest	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Nice	6	3	1	2	+0	10
12	Reims	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
14	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
15	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Metz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
17	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
18	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
19	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
20	St Etienne	5	1	3	1	+0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	6	3	0	3	+1	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Amiens	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Nantes	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Nimes	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Toulouse	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Lille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Strasbourg	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.