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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nantes
S S T T T
2–3
Full-time
St Etienne
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
25%
42%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 7. · St Etienne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 10 0 3 +20 30
2 Angers 13 6 3 4 +1 21
3 Lille 13 5 4 4 +5 19
4 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +4 19
5 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
6 Reims 13 5 4 4 +3 19
7 Nantes 12 6 1 5 +0 19
8 Marseille 12 5 4 3 -2 19
9 Rennes 12 5 3 4 +3 18
10 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 St Etienne 12 5 3 4 -3 18
12 Brest 13 4 5 4 -2 17
13 Nice 13 5 2 6 -3 17
14 Lyon 12 4 4 4 +8 16
15 Amiens 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Metz 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Dijon 13 3 3 7 -7 12
19 Toulouse 13 3 3 7 -10 12
20 Nimes 12 2 5 5 -5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes St Etienne
1–0 L. Blas
C. Benavente
14′
22′
M. Trauco 1–1
F. Honorat
2–1 I. Louza
L. Blas
26′
34′
D. Bouanga 2–2
M. Trauco
Andrei Girotto 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
57′
🔁 W. Khazri
↦ R. Hamouma
67′
D. Bouanga 2–3
R. Boudebouz
68′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ R. Boudebouz
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
70′
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ C. Traoré
79′
81′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ D. Bouanga
E. Youan 🔁
↦ L. Blas
86′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
14 C. Traoré D
23 T. Basila D
20 Andrei Girotto D
10 C. Benavente M
19 A. Touré M
17 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza M
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon M
Bench (7)
32 K. Bamba
18 S. Moutoussamy
24 E. Youan
21 R. Krhin
16 A. Olliero
11 M. Abeid
33 P. Prado

Coach: C. Gourcuff

St Etienne

3-4-2-1
16 S. Ruffier G
26 M. Debuchy D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
13 M. Trauco M
2 H. Moukoudi D
7 R. Boudebouz F
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga F
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
14 F. Honorat M
Bench (7)
10 W. Khazri
18 A. Nordin
25 A. Dioussé
27 R. Berič
11 Gabriel Silva
24 L. Perrin
30 J. Moulin

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,16
B ✓
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,43
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.