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Ligue 1

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Amiens

T T T S S

0–2

Full-time

Marseille

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

60%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Amiens 14. · Marseille 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Monaco	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Bordeaux	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Caen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Guingamp	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Angers	5	1	4	0	+2	7
10	Montpellier	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Marseille	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Toulouse	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Nice	5	2	0	3	+1	6
14	Amiens	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	Rennes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Lille	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Nice	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Lille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+1	6
3	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Nantes	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Caen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Strasbourg	4	0	1	3	-9	1
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.