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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Marseille

T S S S U

2–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,7

Scored

2,2

3,0

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 73%

56%

89%

Points per game

1,9

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,7

3,9

Scored

2,0

3,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

11 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Marseille 5. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Monaco	10	7	1	2	+14	22
3	Nantes	10	6	2	2	+2	20
4	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+10	19
5	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Bordeaux	10	4	4	2	+1	16
8	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Caen	10	5	0	5	-1	15
10	Toulouse	10	4	2	4	-4	14
11	Guingamp	10	4	1	5	-2	13
12	Angers	10	2	6	2	+2	12
13	Troyes	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Nice	10	3	1	6	-3	10
15	Rennes	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Amiens	9	3	0	6	-6	9
17	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Strasbourg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
19	Lille	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Metz	10	1	0	9	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	St Etienne	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Bordeaux	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
9	Caen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	+1	4
17	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Angers	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+0	10
4	Angers	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Monaco	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Caen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Guingamp	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Metz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Nice	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Amiens	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Lille	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.