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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

S T S S S

4–0

Full-time

Marseille

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

30%

Both score Ø 35%

20%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Marseille 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+16	24
2	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Lille	11	5	3	3	+6	18
4	Reims	11	5	3	3	+5	18
5	Angers	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Brest	11	4	5	2	+0	17
7	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+1	16
8	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	St Etienne	11	4	3	4	-4	15
13	Lyon	11	3	4	4	+7	13
14	Amiens	11	3	4	4	-2	13
15	Nice	11	4	1	6	-5	13
16	Strasbourg	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Toulouse	11	3	3	5	-6	12
18	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Metz	11	3	2	6	-7	11
20	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+10	12
6	Brest	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Reims	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
11	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
12	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
18	St Etienne	5	1	3	1	+0	6
19	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5
20	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Amiens	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Nimes	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Toulouse	6	0	3	3	-6	3
18	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Strasbourg	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.