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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Marseille
S T U U U
3–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 10. · Bordeaux 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +13 15
2 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Monaco 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +4 9
10 Marseille 6 2 3 1 +0 9
11 Brest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
12 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
13 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Lyon 6 1 4 1 +2 7
15 Metz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Strasbourg 6 1 0 5 -9 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Bordeaux
4′
🟨 Yacine Adli
1–0 F. Thauvin
H. Sakai
5′
Hiroki Sakai 🟨
7′
Half-time 1–0
Morgan Sanson 🟨
49′
2–0 J. Amavi
F. Thauvin
54′
2–1 Pablo
own goal
64′
65′
🔁 Hwang Ui-jo
↦ Y. Adli
65′
🔁 M. Poundjé
↦ L. Benito
66′
🔁 J. Maja
↦ H. Ben Arfa
71′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ N. de Préville
71′
🔁 M. Zerkane
↦ R. Oudin
Duje Ćaleta-Car 🟨
72′
P. Gueye 🔁
↦ M. Cuisance
73′
M. Aké 🔁
↦ F. Thauvin
78′
83′
J. Maja 2–2
J. Briand
K. Strootman 🔁
↦ V. Rongier
86′
Luis Henrique 🔁
↦ D. Benedetto
86′
V. Germain 🔁
↦ D. Ćaleta-Car
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Marseille

4-3-1-2
30 S. Mandanda G
2 H. Sakai D
3 Álvaro González D
18 J. Amavi D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
4 B. Kamara M
8 M. Sanson M
21 V. Rongier M
17 M. Cuisance M
9 D. Benedetto F
26 F. Thauvin F
Bench (9)
22 P. Gueye
23 M. Aké
6 K. Strootman
11 Luis Henrique
28 V. Germain
7 N. Radonjić
16 Y. Pelé
25 Y. Nagatomo
5 L. Balerdi

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
8 H. Ben Arfa M
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
12 N. de Préville F
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (9)
18 Hwang Ui-jo
29 M. Poundjé
9 J. Maja
7 J. Briand
17 M. Zerkane
14 V. Jovanović
32 D. Bakwa
25 E. Kwateng
16 G. Poussin

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,39
B
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.