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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Bordeaux
U S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Montpellier
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
22%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 12. · Montpellier 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 7 0 2 +20 21
2 Lille 9 5 4 0 +11 19
3 Rennes 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Marseille 9 5 3 1 +4 18
5 Nice 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Lyon 9 3 5 1 +6 14
7 Metz 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Monaco 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Montpellier 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
11 Angers 9 4 1 4 -9 13
12 Bordeaux 9 3 3 3 +0 12
13 St Etienne 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Brest 9 3 0 6 -8 9
15 Reims 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 -3 8
17 Nantes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -5 8
19 Strasbourg 10 2 0 8 -9 6
20 Dijon 9 0 3 6 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Montpellier
32′
🟨 Jordan Ferri
Half-time 0–1
49′
F. Mollet 0–1
G. Laborde
Enock Kwateng 🟨
51′
J. Briand 🔁
↦ J. Maja
61′
Y. Adli 🔁
↦ T. Bašić
62′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ M. Zerkane
62′
Pablo Nascimento Castro 🟨
65′
66′
A. Delort 0–2
T. Savanier
74′
🔁 K. Dolly
↦ T. Savanier
81′
🔁 M. Ristić
↦ S. Mavididi
81′
🔁 J. Chotard
↦ J. Ferri
89′
🔁 N. Cozza
↦ Pedro Mendes
90′
🔁 Yun Il-Lok
↦ F. Mollet
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
25 E. Kwateng D
8 H. Ben Arfa M
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
17 M. Zerkane M
28 R. Oudin M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
7 J. Briand
19 Y. Adli
12 N. de Préville
20 Y. Sabaly
24 P. Baysse
18 Hwang Ui-jo
16 G. Poussin
32 D. Bakwa
29 M. Poundjé

Coach: J. Gasset

Montpellier

4-3-3
16 D. Bertaud G
3 D. Congré D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
6 S. Sambia D
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
19 S. Mavididi F
Bench (9)
20 K. Dolly
7 M. Ristić
13 J. Chotard
31 N. Cozza
24 Yun Il-Lok
32 P. Škuletić
26 S. Benchama
2 A. Souquet
30 Mathis Carvalho

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,30
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.