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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Monaco
T S T U T
4–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 12. · Bordeaux 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 7 0 2 +20 21
2 Lille 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Rennes 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Nice 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Marseille 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 Metz 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Montpellier 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Lyon 8 3 4 1 +6 13
9 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
10 Angers 9 4 1 4 -9 13
11 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +4 12
12 Monaco 8 3 2 3 -2 11
13 St Etienne 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Brest 9 3 0 6 -8 9
15 Reims 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 -3 8
17 Nantes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -5 8
19 Strasbourg 9 2 0 7 -8 6
20 Dijon 9 0 3 6 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Bordeaux
27′
🟨 Pablo Nascimento Castro
1–0 W. Ben Yedder
28′
2–0 Gelson Martins
R. Aguilar
30′
3–0 K. Volland
W. Ben Yedder
31′
Ruben Aguilar 🟨
41′
Half-time 3–0
D. Sidibé 🔁
↦ R. Aguilar
46′
46′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ R. Oudin
46′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
46′
🔁 M. Zerkane
↦ Y. Adli
4–0 K. Volland
Gelson Martins
58′
62′
🔁 E. Kwateng
↦ Y. Sabaly
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ K. Volland
67′
G. Maripán 🔁
↦ B. Badiashile
72′
73′
🟨 Loris Benito
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
83′
Fàbregas 🔁
↦ S. Diop
84′
Cesc Fàbregas 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-3-3
40 B. Lecomte G
26 R. Aguilar D
20 A. Disasi D
32 B. Badiashile D
12 Caio Henrique D
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins F
37 S. Diop M
Bench (9)
29 D. Sidibé
19 P. Pellegri
3 G. Maripán
10 S. Jovetić
4 Fàbregas
34 C. Matsima
1 R. Majecki
7 H. Onyekuru
35 Florentino Luís

Coach: N. Kovač

Bordeaux

4-1-4-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
8 H. Ben Arfa F
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
18 Hwang Ui-jo M
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (9)
7 J. Briand
12 N. de Préville
17 M. Zerkane
25 E. Kwateng
9 J. Maja
32 D. Bakwa
24 P. Baysse
29 M. Poundjé
16 G. Poussin

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,76
B
3,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.