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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Rennes
S S U U T
2–1
Full-time
Brest
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
88%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
24 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
2 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 3. · Brest 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 6 0 2 +17 18
2 Lille 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Rennes 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Marseille 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Nice 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 Lyon 8 3 4 1 +6 13
7 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Angers 8 4 1 3 -6 13
9 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +4 12
10 Metz 8 3 2 3 +2 11
11 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Monaco 8 3 2 3 -2 11
13 St Etienne 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Brest 8 3 0 5 -7 9
15 Nantes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Lorient 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Strasbourg 8 2 0 6 -7 6
19 Reims 8 1 2 5 -3 5
20 Dijon 8 0 2 6 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Brest
Dalbert 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
57′
F. Honorat 0–1
S. Mounié
64′
🟨 Franck Honorat
1–1 D. Da Silva
R. Del Castillo
66′
B. Bourigeaud 🔁
↦ J. Lea Siliki
67′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
67′
Y. Gboho 🔁
↦ J. Doku
67′
2–1 N. Aguerd
B. Bourigeaud
70′
72′
🟨 Romain Perraud
75′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ I. Cardona
C. Grenier 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
82′
83′
🔁 G. Charbonnier
↦ F. Honorat
83′
🔁 R. Philippoteaux
↦ S. Mounié
90′
🟨 Gaëtan Charbonnier
90′
🔁 C. Battocchio
↦ H. Mananga Mbock
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
16 A. Gomis G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
5 Dalbert Henrique D
6 N. Aguerd D
15 S. Nzonzi M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
7 M. Terrier M
9 S. Guirassy F
22 R. Del Castillo M
18 J. Doku M
Bench (9)
14 B. Bourigeaud
23 A. Hunou
19 Y. Gboho
8 C. Grenier
1 R. Salin
28 J. Martin
31 A. Truffert
34 B. Soppy
4 G. Nyamsi

Coach: J. Stéphan

Brest

4-4-2
1 G. Larsonneur G
5 B. Chardonnet D
18 R. Perraud D
2 J. Duverne D
22 J. Faussurier D
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
28 H. Mananga Mbock M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
14 I. Cardona F
Bench (9)
26 J. Le Douaron
10 G. Charbonnier
12 R. Philippoteaux
11 C. Battocchio
27 H. Magnetti
16 S. Cibois
24 Ludovic Baal
3 L. Brassier
8 P. Lasne

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
3,60
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.