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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Strasbourg

S T T S S

1–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

32%

21%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

47%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

53%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 15. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	13	3	4	+33	42
2	Lyon	19	11	7	1	+21	40
3	Lille	19	11	6	2	+19	39
4	Monaco	20	11	3	6	+10	36
5	Rennes	20	10	6	4	+8	36
6	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
7	Angers	20	9	3	8	-6	30
8	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	-2	28
9	Lens	18	8	3	7	+0	27
10	Bordeaux	19	7	5	7	-1	26
11	Brest	20	8	2	10	-5	26
12	Metz	19	6	7	6	+2	25
13	Nice	18	6	5	7	-3	23
14	Reims	19	5	6	8	-2	21
15	Strasbourg	19	6	2	11	-4	20
16	St Etienne	19	4	7	8	-9	19
17	Nantes	19	3	8	8	-12	17
18	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15
19	Dijon	19	2	8	9	-14	14
20	Lorient	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	1	2	+20	22
2	Lyon	9	6	3	0	+14	21
3	Lille	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Monaco	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Metz	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Lens	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Nantes	9	2	5	2	-4	11
15	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Strasbourg	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nice	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Lille	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Angers	10	5	2	3	-2	17
7	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Lens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Strasbourg	10	4	0	6	-1	12
12	Bordeaux	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
14	Reims	10	2	4	4	+0	10
15	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
16	St Etienne	10	2	3	5	-7	9
17	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
18	Brest	10	2	1	7	-9	7
19	Nantes	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.