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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Ajax

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Feyenoord

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,8

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 16/14 matches

Win Ø 73%

75%

71%

Points per game

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

81%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

4,4

2,9

Scored

3,6

2,1

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Feyenoord 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+44	38
2	Vitesse	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	4	2	+22	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	7	1	+16	34
5	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+20	33
6	Groningen	16	9	3	4	+4	30
7	Twente	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Heerenveen	17	5	7	5	-1	22
9	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-2	20
10	Utrecht	15	4	7	4	-2	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Heracles	17	5	3	9	-9	18
13	Zwolle	17	3	8	6	-9	17
14	VVV Venlo	17	4	4	9	-18	16
15	Waalwijk	17	3	5	9	-14	14
16	Willem II	17	2	4	11	-16	10
17	Den Haag	17	2	4	11	-25	10
18	FC Emmen	17	0	5	12	-28	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
3	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+19	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Groningen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Willem II	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3
18	Den Haag	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	7	5	0	2	+2	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Den Haag	9	2	2	5	-13	8
12	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-13	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-7	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.