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Premier League
Referee: L Mason
Man City
U S S S S
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 16/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
25%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

72% Possession 28%
13 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 5. · Crystal Palace 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 18 11 4 3 +10 37
2 Leicester 18 11 2 5 +12 35
3 Liverpool 18 9 7 2 +16 34
4 Tottenham 18 9 6 3 +16 33
5 Man City 16 9 5 2 +12 32
6 Everton 17 10 2 5 +7 32
7 Chelsea 18 8 5 5 +12 29
8 Southampton 18 8 5 5 +5 29
9 West Ham 18 8 5 5 +4 29
10 Aston Villa 15 8 2 5 +13 26
11 Arsenal 18 7 3 8 +1 24
12 Leeds 18 7 2 9 -4 23
13 Crystal Palace 18 6 5 7 -7 23
14 Wolves 19 6 4 9 -8 22
15 Newcastle 17 5 4 8 -9 19
16 Brighton 19 3 8 8 -7 17
17 Burnley 17 4 4 9 -13 16
18 Fulham 17 2 6 9 -11 12
19 West Brom 18 2 5 11 -27 11
20 Sheffield United 19 1 2 16 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man City Crystal Palace
1–0 J. Stones
K. De Bruyne
26′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 İ. Gündoğan
56′
P. Foden 🔁
↦ Bernardo Silva
60′
68′
🔁 J. Riedewald
↦ L. Milivojević
3–0 J. Stones
68′
João Cancelo 🔁
↦ K. De Bruyne
71′
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ İ. Gündoğan
71′
79′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ A. Townsend
4–0 R. Sterling
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Man City

4-3-3
31 Ederson Moraes G
2 K. Walker D
5 J. Stones D
3 Rúben Dias D
25 Fernandinho M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
17 K. De Bruyne M
11 O. Zinchenko D
20 Bernardo Silva F
7 R. Sterling F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
Bench (9)
47 P. Foden
27 João Cancelo
21 Ferran Torres
26 R. Mahrez
48 L. Delap
13 Z. Steffen
16 Rodri
69 T. Doyle
22 B. Mendy

Coach: Guardiola

Crystal Palace

4-1-4-1
31 Guaita G
24 G. Cahill D
5 J. Tomkins D
2 J. Ward D
27 T. Mitchell D
18 J. McArthur M
22 J. McCarthy M
10 A. Townsend M
4 L. Milivojević M
25 E. Eze M
9 J. Ayew F
Bench (7)
44 J. Riedewald
23 M. Batshuayi
17 N. Clyne
1 J. Butland
6 S. Dann
20 C. Benteke
3 P. van Aanholt

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,67
B
17,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Mason · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.