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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Bayern Munich

U S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Freiburg

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,3

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

67%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

87%

60%

Both score Ø 77%

87%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,5

Scored

3,1

1,9

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

25 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Freiburg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	RB Leipzig	16	9	5	2	+14	32
3	Leverkusen	16	8	5	3	+14	29
4	Dortmund	16	9	2	5	+12	29
5	Union Berlin	16	7	7	2	+12	28
6	Wolfsburg	16	6	8	2	+5	26
7	M'gladbach	16	6	7	3	+4	25
8	Freiburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	5	8	2	+2	23
10	Stuttgart	16	5	7	4	+8	22
11	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Werder Bremen	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Hertha	16	4	5	7	-2	17
14	Hoffenheim	16	4	4	8	-8	16
15	Bielefeld	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	FC Koln	16	2	6	8	-14	12
17	Mainz	16	1	4	11	-19	7
18	Schalke 04	15	1	4	10	-27	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Wolfsburg	8	5	3	0	+6	18
3	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+18	17
4	Union Berlin	9	4	4	1	+9	16
5	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+6	13
6	M'gladbach	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
8	Leverkusen	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	5	0	+2	11
10	Bielefeld	8	3	0	5	-5	9
11	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Hertha	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Werder Bremen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Augsburg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Stuttgart	8	0	5	3	-4	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	FC Koln	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	Mainz	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	8	5	2	1	+12	17
2	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Dortmund	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+4	16
5	RB Leipzig	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Werder Bremen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	Hertha	9	2	3	4	+0	9
13	FC Koln	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Mainz	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.