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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Brest
T T T T U
2–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
74%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
24 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 13. · Bordeaux 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 24 15 7 2 +30 52
2 Lille 23 15 6 2 +25 51
3 Paris SG 23 15 3 5 +39 48
4 Monaco 23 14 3 6 +14 45
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Metz 23 9 8 6 +7 35
8 Angers 23 10 4 9 -5 34
9 Marseille 21 9 6 6 +5 33
10 Bordeaux 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Montpellier 23 8 5 10 -7 29
12 Reims 24 7 7 10 -2 28
13 Brest 23 8 3 12 -8 27
14 Nice 22 7 5 10 -7 26
15 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
16 St Etienne 23 5 8 10 -14 23
17 Lorient 23 6 4 13 -15 22
18 Nantes 23 3 10 10 -15 19
19 Dijon 23 2 9 12 -17 15
20 Nimes 22 4 3 15 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Bordeaux
6′
🟨 Hatem Ben Arfa
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Laurent Koscielny
51′
🟨 Toma Bašić
56′
Hwang Ui-jo 0–1
R. Oudin
57′
🔁 J. Seri
↦ T. Bašić
58′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
F. Honorat 🔁
↦ H. Belkebla
72′
S. Mounié 🔁
↦ G. Charbonnier
75′
75′
🔁 T. Lacoux
↦ E. Kwateng
1–1 S. Mounié
80′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
81′
2–1 R. Faivre
85′
87′
🔁 A. Traore
↦ N. de Préville
88′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ Y. Adli
Franck Honorat 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-3
16 S. Cibois G
22 J. Faussurier D
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
18 R. Perraud D
8 P. Lasne M
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre F
6 Jean Lucas M
10 G. Charbonnier F
14 I. Cardona F
Bench (9)
9 F. Honorat
15 S. Mounié
26 J. Le Douaron
12 R. Philippoteaux
27 H. Magnetti
1 G. Larsonneur
20 R. Pierre-Gabriel
2 J. Duverne
24 L. Baal

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
25 E. Kwateng M
8 H. Ben Arfa F
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
12 N. de Préville F
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (9)
15 J. Seri
7 J. Briand
27 T. Lacoux
31 A. Traore
32 D. Bakwa
29 M. Poundjé
16 G. Poussin
4 Mexer
36 S. Mara

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
3,19
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.