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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Servette
U S U U T
4–2
Full-time
Luzern
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
31%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 7. · Luzern 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +16 38
2 Basel 18 9 3 6 +4 30
3 Zurich 19 7 4 8 +2 25
4 Lugano 17 5 10 2 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 17 6 5 6 +0 23
6 Lausanne 17 5 5 7 -2 20
7 Servette 16 5 5 6 -4 20
8 Sion 18 4 7 7 -6 19
9 Luzern 15 4 4 7 +0 16
10 Vaduz 18 3 6 9 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Luzern
-5′
🟨 David Zibung
Boubacar Fofana 🟨
2′
8′
L. Schaub 0–1
1–1 B. Fofana
T. Valls
11′
2–1 G. Kyei
18′
Boris Cespedes 🟨
22′
Grejohn Kyei 🟨
28′
33′
🟨 Christian Schwegler
Half-time 2–1
54′
🟨 Stefan Knežević
3–1 S. Rouiller
T. Valls
54′
A. Schalk 🔁
↦ B. Fofana
55′
K. Koné 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
55′
66′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ F. Ugrinic
66′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ C. Schwegler
66′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ M. Bürki
4–1 B. Cespedes
M. Stevanović
67′
Yoan Severin 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 A. Balaruban
↦ D. Sorgić
73′
🔁 M. Burch
↦ L. Schaub
A. Mendy 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
74′
75′
M. Schulz 4–2
P. Schürpf
84′
🟨 Lorik Emini
R. Azevedo 🔁
↦ M. Stevanović
88′
N. Vouilloz 🔁
↦ B. Cespedes
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
4 S. Rouiller D
7 M. Diallo D
19 Y. Severin D
9 M. Stevanović F
15 T. Valls M
5 B. Cespedes M
8 T. Cognat M
25 G. Kyei F
35 B. Fofana F
Bench (6)
10 A. Schalk
18 K. Koné
24 A. Mendy
22 R. Azevedo
33 N. Vouilloz
1 J. Kiassumbua

Coach: A. Geiger

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
6 M. Bürki D
15 M. Schulz M
4 S. Knežević D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
19 F. Ugrinic M
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
7 I. Ndiaye
34 S. Sidler
16 V. Tasar
21 A. Balaruban
46 M. Burch
17 S. Grether
1 D. Zibung

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.