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Super League
Referee: A Treimanis
AEK
S U T S T
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Super League · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
59%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
35%
Both score Ø 35%
45%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
4 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 22 19 3 0 +47 60
2 AEK 22 13 4 5 +10 43
3 Aris 21 13 3 5 +14 42
4 Panathinaikos 23 12 5 6 +11 41
5 PAOK 22 11 7 4 +18 40
6 Aris Thessalonikis 20 12 3 5 +12 39
7 Asteras Tripolis 23 11 6 6 +2 39
8 Atromitos 22 6 8 8 -7 26
9 Volos NFC 23 5 9 9 -11 24
10 Giannina 22 4 8 10 -5 20
11 Apollon 22 5 4 13 -9 19
12 OFI Crete 22 5 4 13 -19 19
13 Lamia 20 3 5 12 -20 14
14 Panetolikos 21 2 7 12 -19 13
15 Larisa 21 1 6 14 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
André Simões 🟨
23′
29′
L. Rose 0–1
Half-time 0–1
O. Danchenko 🔁
↦ V. Radonja
46′
T. Macheras 🔁
↦ C. Albanis
46′
P. Mandalos 🔁
↦ André Simões
46′
Hélder Lopes 🟨
53′
Nenad Krstičić 🟨
54′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ K. Ansarifard
59′
67′
🔁 D. Manos
↦ D. Mancini
74′
🔁 Xande Silva
↦ F. Bertoglio
M. Tankovic 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
79′
81′
🟨 Daniel Sundgren
84′
🔁 E. Kaçe
↦ Lucas Sasha
84′
🔁 Matilla
↦ M. García
84′
🔁 Bruno Souza
↦ Bruno Gama
89′
🟨 Dimitrios Manos
91′
Xande Silva 0–2
D. Manos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-3
30 G. Athanasiadis G
3 Hélder Lopes D
5 I. Nedelcearu D
37 V. Radonja D
15 Ž. Laci D
6 N. Krstičić M
8 André Simões M
4 D. Szymański M
11 K. Ansarifard F
9 L. Garcia F
14 C. Albanis F
Bench (9)
33 O. Danchenko
53 T. Macheras
20 P. Mandalos
18 Nélson Oliveira
17 M. Tankovic
40 M. Mitaj
1 P. Tsintotas
26 N. Hnid
19 D. Chygrynskiy

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
66 E. Sakic M
5 G. Delizisis D
16 Bruno Gama M
18 F. Bertoglio M
88 Lucas Sasha M
6 J. Jeggo M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
Bench (9)
9 D. Manos
17 Xande Silva
20 E. Kaçe
26 Matilla
77 Bruno Souza
44 N. Ioannou
14 K. Mitroglou
99 M. Siampanis
29 Y. Benalouane

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.