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Premier League

Referee: K Friend

Sheffield United

S T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Chelsea

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

14%

45%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

41%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,6

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

31% Possession 69%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sheffield United 20. · Chelsea 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	22	15	5	2	+29	50
2	Man United	23	13	6	4	+19	45
3	Leicester	23	13	4	6	+14	43
4	Liverpool	23	11	7	5	+15	40
5	West Ham	23	11	6	6	+6	39
6	Everton	21	11	4	6	+6	37
7	Tottenham	22	10	6	6	+14	36
8	Chelsea	22	10	6	6	+13	36
9	Aston Villa	21	11	2	8	+12	35
10	Arsenal	23	9	4	10	+4	31
11	Leeds	21	9	2	10	-2	29
12	Southampton	22	8	5	9	-8	29
13	Crystal Palace	22	8	5	9	-10	29
14	Wolves	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Brighton	23	5	10	8	-5	25
16	Newcastle	23	7	4	12	-13	25
17	Burnley	22	6	5	11	-15	23
18	Fulham	22	2	9	11	-14	15
19	West Brom	23	2	6	15	-36	12
20	Sheffield United	22	3	2	17	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Liverpool	12	7	2	3	+8	23
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	Man United	12	5	3	4	+7	18
5	Tottenham	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	West Ham	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Aston Villa	10	5	1	4	+5	16
8	Southampton	11	5	1	5	+2	16
9	Leicester	11	5	1	5	+1	16
10	Wolves	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Crystal Palace	11	4	3	4	-4	15
13	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Burnley	11	4	2	5	-4	14
15	Newcastle	12	4	2	6	-6	14
16	Leeds	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Brighton	11	1	6	4	-4	9
18	Sheffield United	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Fulham	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	Man United	11	8	3	0	+12	27
3	Man City	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Everton	11	7	2	2	+5	23
5	West Ham	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Aston Villa	11	6	1	4	+7	19
7	Tottenham	10	5	3	2	+10	18
8	Leeds	11	6	0	5	+0	18
9	Liverpool	11	4	5	2	+7	17
10	Chelsea	11	5	2	4	+3	17
11	Arsenal	12	5	1	6	+3	16
12	Brighton	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Crystal Palace	11	4	2	5	-6	14
14	Southampton	11	3	4	4	-10	13
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Burnley	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Fulham	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	West Brom	12	1	3	8	-12	6
20	Sheffield United	11	1	1	9	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.