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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nimes
T T S T T
3–4
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 40%
18%
61%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
59%
83%
Both score Ø 53%
36%
70%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 20. · Monaco 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 24 15 7 2 +30 52
2 Lille 23 15 6 2 +25 51
3 Paris SG 23 15 3 5 +39 48
4 Monaco 23 14 3 6 +14 45
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Metz 23 9 8 6 +7 35
8 Angers 23 10 4 9 -5 34
9 Marseille 21 9 6 6 +5 33
10 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
11 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
12 Montpellier 23 8 5 10 -7 29
13 Reims 24 7 7 10 -2 28
14 Nice 22 7 5 10 -7 26
15 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
16 St Etienne 23 5 8 10 -14 23
17 Lorient 23 6 4 13 -15 22
18 Nantes 23 3 10 10 -15 19
19 Dijon 23 2 9 12 -17 15
20 Nimes 22 4 3 15 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Monaco
3′
A. Golovin 0–1
F. Ballo
4′
🟨 Fodé Ballo-Touré
12′
A. Golovin 0–2
F. Ballo
1–2 L. Deaux
Z. Ferhat
23′
2–2 Z. Ferhat
32′
Birger Meling 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–2
46′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ S. Diop
56′
🔁 Fàbregas
↦ Y. Fofana
56′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
58′
🟨 Benoît Badiashile
62′
A. Golovin 2–3
64′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ F. Ballo
N. Roux 🔁
↦ M. Koné
66′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
72′
L. Fomba 🔁
↦ A. Cubas
72′
77′
K. Volland 2–4
A. Golovin
3–4 N. Eliasson
81′
H. Duljević 🔁
↦ Y. Benrahou
86′
87′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ A. Golovin
Zinedine Ferhat 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Nimes

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
23 A. Briançon D
3 B. Meling D
26 F. Miguel D
29 S. Alakouch D
8 L. Deaux M
10 Z. Ferhat M
18 A. Cubas M
22 Y. Benrahou M
20 R. Ripart M
28 M. Koné F
Bench (9)
25 N. Roux
7 N. Eliasson
12 L. Fomba
17 H. Duljević
33 M. Majouga
21 P. Burner
15 G. Paquiez
27 N. Ueda
40 A. Nazih

Coach: P. Plancque

Monaco

4-4-2
40 B. Lecomte G
29 D. Sidibé D
3 G. Maripán D
2 F. Ballo D
32 B. Badiashile D
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
37 S. Diop M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
27 K. Diatta
4 Fàbregas
10 S. Jovetić
12 Caio Henrique
26 R. Aguilar
34 C. Matsima
19 P. Pellegri
1 R. Majecki
20 A. Disasi

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,71
U
4,82
B ✓
1,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.