Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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AEK
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | +47 | 60 |
| 2 |
AEK
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 43 |
| 3 |
Panathinaikos
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 40 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +12 | 39 |
| 7 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 8 |
Atromitos
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 |
Volos NFC
|
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -11 | 24 |
| 10 |
Giannina
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 |
Apollon
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 |
OFI Crete
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -19 | 19 |
| 13 |
Lamia
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -20 | 14 |
| 14 |
Panetolikos
|
21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -19 | 13 |
| 15 |
Larisa
|
21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | -24 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
OFI Crete
AEK
AEK
Giannina
PAOK
AEK
AEK
Atromitos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.