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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Metz

S S S U T

1–2

Full-time

Strasbourg

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

21%

54%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 7. · Strasbourg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	17	3	5	+42	54
2	Lille	24	16	6	2	+27	54
3	Lyon	25	15	7	3	+29	52
4	Monaco	25	15	4	6	+15	49
5	Rennes	23	10	8	5	+7	38
6	Lens	25	10	7	8	+1	37
7	Metz	24	9	8	7	+6	35
8	Montpellier	25	10	5	10	-4	35
9	Angers	24	10	4	10	-8	34
10	Marseille	22	9	6	7	+3	33
11	Bordeaux	24	9	5	10	-2	32
12	Brest	24	9	3	12	-7	30
13	Reims	25	7	8	10	-2	29
14	Nice	24	8	5	11	-5	29
15	St Etienne	24	6	8	10	-13	26
16	Strasbourg	24	7	4	13	-7	25
17	Lorient	24	6	5	13	-15	23
18	Nantes	24	3	10	11	-17	19
19	Dijon	24	2	9	13	-19	15
20	Nimes	23	4	3	16	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+28	31
2	Monaco	13	8	4	1	+13	28
3	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
4	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
5	Brest	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Lens	12	4	4	4	+0	16
10	Reims	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
12	Montpellier	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	Lorient	12	5	1	6	-3	16
14	Marseille	11	4	3	4	+1	15
15	St Etienne	12	3	5	4	-6	14
16	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
17	Nantes	12	2	6	4	-7	12
18	Nice	12	3	2	7	-9	11
19	Dijon	12	0	6	6	-8	6
20	Nimes	11	1	1	9	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+13	25
3	Paris SG	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Monaco	12	7	0	5	+2	21
5	Lens	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Montpellier	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Nice	12	5	3	4	+4	18
9	Marseille	11	5	3	3	+2	18
10	Angers	13	5	3	5	-6	18
11	Metz	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Bordeaux	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Reims	13	3	4	6	-1	13
14	Strasbourg	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	12	3	2	7	-16	11
17	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-11	9
18	Brest	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Nantes	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Lorient	12	1	4	7	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.