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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Metz
T S T T U
3–3
Full-time
Lille
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
5 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
6 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Lorient 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -21 Metz – Lille 0–2 13. Sep -20 Lille – Metz 1–0 9. Nov -19 Lille – Metz 0–0 28. Apr -18 Lille – Metz 3–1 5. Nov -17 Metz – Lille 0–3

Match report

Metz Lille
23′
⚽ S. Botman 0–1
Y. Yazıcı
1–1 F. Centonze ⚽
T. Delaine
31′
2–1 M. Udol ⚽
I. Niane
41′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 F. Centonze ⚽
52′
Dylan Bronn 🟨
56′
Boubakar Kouyaté 🟥
56′
Mamadou Fofana I 🔁
↦ C. Sabaly
58′
59′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ Y. Yazıcı
59′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ J. David
62′
ℹ️ Benjamin André
VAR: Goal cancelled
L. Joseph 🔁
↦ I. Niane
71′
77′
🔁 I. Lihadji
↦ Reinildo
79′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
81′
⚽ J. Ikoné 3–2
I. Lihadji
83′
🟨 Burak Yılmaz
G. Mikautadze 🔁
↦ L. Joseph
93′
97′
⚽ A. Oukidja 4–2
own goal
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Metz

3-4-1-2
16 A. Oukidja G
17 T. Delaine M
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze M
23 B. Kouyaté D
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
15 P. Sarr F
7 I. Niane F
13 C. Sabaly F
Bench (9)
6 Mamadou Fofana I
24 L. Joseph
9 G. Mikautadze
21 A. Bassi
20 M. Gueye
22 S. Alakouch
30 M. Caillard
27 Vágner
8 B. Traoré

Coach: F. Antonetti

Lille

4-4-2
30 Léo Jardim G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
2 Z. Çelik D
4 S. Botman D
21 B. André M
18 Renato Sanches M
11 Y. Yazıcı M
17 B. Yılmaz F
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
10 J. Ikoné
22 T. Weah
19 I. Lihadji
26 J. Pied
16 A. Jakubech
27 C. Niasse
29 D. Bradarić
24 A. Onana
34 R. Ascone

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,41
🔒
U ✓
3,44
🔒
B
1,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,32
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.