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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Troyes
T U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Angers
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
25 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Troyes 20. · Angers 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +14 9
3 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Lille 4 2 1 1 -1 7
5 Auxerre 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Clermont 3 2 0 1 -2 6
8 Toulouse 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Nantes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Brest 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Rennes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Monaco 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Montpellier 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Strasbourg 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Ajaccio 4 0 1 3 -4 1
19 Reims 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Angers
11′
🟨 Batista Mendy
1–0 R. Ripart
Rony Lopes
12′
21′
🟨 Batista Mendy
21′
🟥 Batista Mendy
Yoann Salmier 🟨
31′
Adil Rami 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Chetti
↦ M. Blažič
46′
🔁 A. Bamba
↦ S. Doumbia
Thierno Baldé ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
48′
W. Odobert 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
59′
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ I. Ugbo
59′
2–0 Mama Baldé
R. Kouamé
61′
66′
🔁 W. Taibi
↦ P. Capelle
66′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ S. Boufal
67′
E. Palmer-Brown 3–0
own goal
P. Yade 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
69′
T. Dingomé 🔁
↦ Y. Larouci
69′
71′
🟨 Waniss Taibi
81′
🔁 A. Sima
↦ S. Thioub
4–0 W. Odobert
P. Yade
82′
X. Chavalerin 🔁
↦ F. Tardieu
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Troyes

5-4-1
30 G. Gallon G
3 T. Baldé D
23 A. Rami D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
17 Y. Salmier D
39 Y. Larouci D
11 Rony Lopes M
6 R. Kouamé M
10 F. Tardieu M
20 R. Ripart M
9 I. Ugbo F
Bench (8)
29 W. Odobert
25 Mama Baldé
26 P. Yade
5 T. Dingomé
24 X. Chavalerin
22 T. Zoukrou
2 J. Porozo
40 J. Moulin

Coach: B. Irles

Angers

3-1-4-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
5 M. Blažič D
22 C. Hountondji D
29 O. Camara D
2 B. Mendy M
92 S. Thioub M
15 P. Capelle M
8 A. Ounahi M
3 S. Doumbia M
9 L. Diony F
7 S. Boufal F
Bench (9)
31 I. Chetti
25 A. Bamba
26 W. Taibi
11 A. Salama
19 A. Sima
10 H. Abdelli
23 A. Hunou
30 Y. Fofana
21 A. Bobichon

Coach: G. Baticle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,33
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.