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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Angers
S U S U T
0–0
Full-time
Marseille
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,7
2,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 5. · Marseille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +12 18
2 Marseille 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Lens 6 3 3 0 +4 12
4 Nice 5 3 2 0 +10 11
5 Angers 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Nantes 7 3 1 3 +3 10
7 Montpellier 7 2 3 2 +2 9
8 Lorient 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Clermont 7 2 3 2 -6 9
10 Rennes 7 2 2 3 +1 8
11 Lyon 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Monaco 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Lille 7 2 2 3 -4 8
14 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 -1 7
15 Reims 7 1 4 2 -1 7
16 Bordeaux 7 1 3 3 -6 6
17 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Brest 7 0 4 3 -6 4
19 St Etienne 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Metz 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Marseille
Azzedine Ounahi 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Duje Ćaleta-Car
59′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
59′
🔁 Luan Peres
↦ J. Amavi
59′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ Luis Henrique
59′
🔁 K. De La Fuente
↦ Pol Lirola
65′
🟨 Amine Harit
M. Cho 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
66′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
71′
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ E. Ebosse
71′
77′
🔁 P. Gueye
↦ B. Kamara
W. Taibi 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
84′
84′
🔁 M. Guendouzi
↦ A. Harit
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Angers

3-4-1-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
6 E. Ebosse M
2 B. Mendy M
15 P. Capelle M
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini F
18 A. Ounahi F
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (9)
21 M. Cho
14 B. Brahimi
5 T. Mangani
26 W. Taibi
30 D. Petković
3 S. Doumbia
27 Mathias Lage
22 S. Thioub
28 F. El Melali

Coach: G. Baticle

Marseille

3-4-3
16 Pau López G
23 J. Amavi D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
29 Pol Lirola M
4 B. Kamara M
5 L. Balerdi D
21 V. Rongier M
8 Gerson F
7 A. Harit M
11 Luis Henrique F
12 C. Dieng F
Bench (9)
14 Luan Peres
17 C. Ünder
20 K. De La Fuente
22 P. Gueye
6 M. Guendouzi
26 O. Targhalline
30 S. Mandanda
2 W. Saliba
32 S. Ben Seghir

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,50
U ✓
3,43
B
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.