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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Angers
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Montpellier
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 19. · Montpellier 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 +21 19
2 Marseille 7 6 1 0 +11 19
3 Lens 7 5 2 0 +9 17
4 Lyon 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Lorient 6 4 1 1 +2 13
6 Lille 7 3 1 3 -1 10
7 Clermont 7 3 1 3 -2 10
8 Montpellier 6 3 0 3 +4 9
9 Rennes 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Monaco 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Troyes 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 Auxerre 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Nantes 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Reims 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Strasbourg 7 0 5 2 -2 5
16 Toulouse 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Nice 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Brest 7 1 2 4 -9 5
19 Angers 6 0 2 4 -11 2
20 Ajaccio 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Montpellier
7′
A. Nordin 0–1
F. Maouassa
1–1 A. Hunou
9′
27′
🔁 W. Khazri
↦ F. Maouassa
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ Y. Valery
40′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🔁 M. Estève
↦ M. Sakho
L. Diony 🔁
↦ A. Sima
62′
66′
🟨 Bingourou Kamara
2–1 S. Boufal
69′
73′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ T. Savanier
73′
🔁 E. Tchato
↦ F. Sacko
73′
🔁 B. Makouana
↦ J. Chotard
Batista Mendy 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Leo Leroy
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
87′
92′
🟨 Jordan Ferri
93′
🟨 Wahbi Khazri
Abdoulaye Bamba 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Fofana G
94 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
5 M. Blažič D
3 S. Doumbia D
2 B. Mendy M
6 N. Bentaleb M
8 A. Ounahi M
23 A. Hunou M
7 S. Boufal M
19 A. Sima F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bamba
9 L. Diony
92 S. Thioub
11 A. Salama
15 P. Capelle
1 P. Bernardoni
29 O. Camara
10 H. Abdelli
31 I. Chetti

Coach: G. Baticle

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
90 B. Kamara G
77 F. Sacko D
6 C. Jullien D
75 M. Sakho D
31 N. Cozza D
12 J. Ferri M
13 J. Chotard M
7 A. Nordin M
11 T. Savanier M
27 F. Maouassa M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
99 W. Khazri
14 M. Estève
18 L. Leroy
29 E. Tchato
28 B. Makouana
30 Matis Carvalho
22 K. Fayad
2 A. Souquet
19 S. Delaye

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,62
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.