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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Angers
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Lens
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
15%
69%
Points per game
0,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
77%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
62%
38%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
2,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 20. · Lens 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +28 35
2 Lens 13 9 3 1 +14 30
3 Rennes 13 8 3 2 +16 27
4 Lorient 13 8 3 2 +6 27
5 Marseille 13 7 3 3 +11 24
6 Monaco 13 7 3 3 +7 24
7 Lille 13 7 1 5 +3 22
8 Lyon 13 6 2 5 +6 20
9 Clermont 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Nice 13 4 4 5 -3 16
11 Toulouse 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Troyes 14 3 5 6 -4 14
13 Reims 13 2 7 4 -6 13
14 Auxerre 14 3 4 7 -12 13
15 Montpellier 13 4 0 9 -5 12
16 Nantes 13 2 6 5 -6 12
17 Ajaccio 14 3 2 9 -10 11
18 Strasbourg 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Brest 13 2 4 7 -12 10
20 Angers 13 2 2 9 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lens
21′
W. Saïd 0–1
F. Sotoca
Half-time 0–2
51′
F. Medina 0–2
K. Danso
56′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ W. Saïd
56′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ F. Medina
A. Sima 🔁
↦ A. Salama
67′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
67′
72′
🔁 A. Claude-Maurice
↦ David Costa
H. Abdelli 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
74′
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
74′
Pierrick Capelle 🟨
77′
84′
🔁 J. Onana
↦ J. Gradit
85′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ D. Machado
86′
🟨 Brice Samba
1–2 M. Blažič
N. Bentaleb
87′
W. Taibi 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
88′
92′
🟨 Kevin Danso
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Angers

5-3-2
30 Y. Fofana G
28 F. El Melali D
5 M. Blažič D
17 I. Amadou D
22 C. Hountondji D
3 S. Doumbia D
2 B. Mendy M
6 N. Bentaleb M
8 A. Ounahi M
23 A. Hunou F
11 A. Salama F
Bench (9)
19 A. Sima
15 P. Capelle
10 H. Abdelli
92 S. Thioub
26 W. Taibi
18 J. Mbock
25 A. Bamba
1 P. Bernardoni
31 I. Chetti

Coach: G. Baticle

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
8 S. Fofana M
26 S. Samed M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
20 David Costa F
22 W. Saïd F
Bench (9)
11 L. Openda
21 M. Haïdara
18 A. Claude-Maurice
6 J. Onana
23 I. Boura
31 R. Labeau Lascary
13 Ł. Poręba
16 J. Leca
15 Steven Fortès

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,78
U
4,01
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.