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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Lille
T S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Nice
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 50%
62%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
38%
62%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 0
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lille 2. · Nice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 35 24 3 8 +52 75
2 Lille 34 21 10 3 +35 73
3 Monaco 34 22 5 7 +33 71
4 Lyon 34 19 10 5 +32 67
5 Lens 35 15 11 9 +7 56
6 Marseille 35 15 11 9 +7 56
7 Rennes 34 15 9 10 +12 54
8 Montpellier 34 12 11 11 -3 47
9 Nice 34 13 7 14 -1 46
10 Metz 34 11 10 13 -4 43
11 Reims 34 9 14 11 -2 41
12 Angers 34 11 8 15 -17 41
13 Brest 34 11 7 16 -10 40
14 St Etienne 34 10 9 15 -13 39
15 Strasbourg 35 10 8 17 -10 38
16 Bordeaux 34 10 6 18 -16 36
17 Lorient 34 9 8 17 -18 35
18 Nantes 34 6 13 15 -17 31
19 Nimes 34 8 7 19 -29 31
20 Dijon 34 3 9 22 -38 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Nice
1–0 B. Yılmaz
J. David
13′
Zeki Çelik 🟨
21′
27′
🟨 Alexis Claude Maurice
34′
🟨 Jordan Lotomba
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Jordan Lotomba
48′
🟥 Jordan Lotomba
52′
🔁 F. Daniliuc
↦ Rony Lopes
2–0 Z. Çelik
56′
70′
🔁 S. N'Soki
↦ H. Kamara
70′
🔁 A. Pelmard
↦ Y. Atal
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
71′
Xeka 🔁
↦ B. Soumaré
75′
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ Luiz Araujo
75′
75′
🔁 P. Lees Melou
↦ H. Boudaoui
Xeka 🟨
87′
D. Bradarić 🔁
↦ J. David
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 S. Botman D
21 B. André M
24 B. Soumaré M
17 B. Yılmaz F
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
12 Y. Yazıcı
8 Xeka
10 J. Ikoné
29 D. Bradarić
3 Tiago Djaló
19 I. Lihadji
22 T. Weah
1 O. Karnezis
26 J. Pied

Coach: C. Galtier

Nice

4-1-4-1
40 W. Benítez G
13 H. Kamara D
23 J. Lotomba D
20 Y. Atal M
25 J. Todibo D
18 W. Saliba D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
28 H. Boudaoui M
22 Rony Lopes M
9 K. Dolberg F
10 A. Claude Maurice M
Bench (9)
5 F. Daniliuc
2 S. N'Soki
24 A. Pelmard
8 P. Lees Melou
33 M. Sellouki
27 A. Trouillet
30 Y. Cardinale
14 D. Ndoye
3 Robson Bambu

Coach: A. Ursea

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,60
B
7,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.