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Ligue 1
Referee: A Kherradji
Le Havre
S T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Strasbourg
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 54%
29%
79%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,86 xG 0,99
56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 17. · Strasbourg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 +26 +25.7 34
2 Marseille 15 9 3 3 +14 +0.3 30
3 Monaco 15 9 3 3 +12 +16.1 30
4 Lille 15 7 6 2 +10 +7.0 27
5 Lyon 14 7 4 3 +9 +7.2 25
6 Nice 15 6 6 3 +9 +7.7 24
7 Lens 15 6 6 3 +5 +7.4 24
8 Auxerre 15 6 3 6 +0 -8.2 21
9 Toulouse 15 6 3 6 +0 +8.2 21
10 Reims 15 5 5 5 +2 -4.2 20
11 Brest 14 5 1 8 -6 -9.6 16
12 Rennes 14 4 2 8 -2 +0.3 14
13 Nantes 14 3 5 6 -4 -5.2 14
14 Strasbourg 14 3 5 6 -5 -7.5 14
15 Angers 14 3 4 7 -10 -6.5 13
16 St Etienne 15 4 1 10 -22 -15.2 13
17 Le Havre 14 4 0 10 -15 -10.9 12
18 Montpellier 15 2 3 10 -23 -12.4 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Strasbourg
28′
H. Diarra 0–1
D. Bakwa
32′
S. Nanasi 0–2
D. Bakwa
Half-time 0–2
60′
🔁 E. Sobol
↦ J. Sebas
A. Joujou 🔁
↦ R. Ndiaye
64′
E. Sabbi 🔁
↦ Y. Zouaoui
64′
A. Ayew 🔁
↦ L. Nego
64′
71′
🔁 P. Diong
↦ S. Nanasi
72′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ E. Emegha
79′
🟨 Eduard Sobol
S. Grandsir 🔁
↦ S. Ngoura
83′
Y. Kechta 🔁
↦ A. Touré
84′
84′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ D. Bakwa
90′
Andrey Santos 0–3
M. Sarr
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Le Havre

3-3-3-1
30 A. Desmas G
32 T. Pembélé D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
7 L. Nego M
94 A. Touré M
18 Y. Zouaoui M
19 R. Ndiaye F
5 O. Targhalline M
27 C. Opéri F
77 S. Ngoura F
Bench (9)
21 A. Joujou
11 E. Sabbi
28 A. Ayew
29 S. Grandsir
8 Y. Kechta
22 Y. Salmier
1 M. Gorgelin
46 I. Housni
14 D. Kuzyaev

Coach: D. Digard

Strasbourg

4-4-2
1 Đ. Petrović G
22 G. Doué D
23 M. Sarr D
29 I. Doukouré D
7 Diego Moreira D
26 D. Bakwa M
8 Andrey Santos M
19 H. Diarra M
40 J. Sebas M
15 S. Nanasi F
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (9)
77 E. Sobol
17 P. Diong
14 S. Mara
42 A. Ouattara
18 J. Mwanga
30 K. Johnsson
28 M. Senaya
6 F. Lemaréchal
5 A. Sylla

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U
3,21
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.