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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Young Boys
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Servette
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,86 xG 1,03
53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 9. · Servette 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 17 9 4 4 +9 +2.5 31
2 Basel 18 9 3 6 +21 +13.3 30
3 Luzern 18 8 5 5 +3 +1.8 29
4 Servette 17 8 5 4 +3 -0.2 29
5 Lausanne 17 8 3 6 +6 +9.4 27
6 Zurich 17 7 6 4 +1 -2.8 27
7 Sion 18 7 5 6 +4 +6.5 26
8 St. Gallen 17 5 7 5 +4 -5.0 22
9 Young Boys 17 5 5 7 -5 +1.6 20
10 Yverdon 18 4 5 9 -12 -11.0 17
11 Grasshoppers 18 3 6 9 -10 -2.6 15
12 Winterthur 18 3 4 11 -24 -13.4 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Servette
6′
D. Kutesa 0–1
U. Simbakoli
1–1 D. Males
C. Itten
37′
J. Monteiro 🔁
↦ A. Virginius
39′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Males
S. Lauper
46′
49′
🔁 A. Baron
↦ Y. Severin
63′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ G. Ondoua
64′
🔁 T. Ouattara
↦ U. Simbakoli
Zachary Athekame 🟨
68′
75′
🔁 E. Crivelli
↦ M. Stevanović
E. Tsimba 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
79′
Darian Maleš 🟨
82′
A. Husic 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
91′
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ D. Males
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
24 Z. Athekame D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
27 L. Blum D
39 D. Males M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
7 F. Ugrinic M
21 A. Virginius M
35 S. Ganvoula F
9 C. Itten F
Bench (8)
77 J. Monteiro
56 E. Tsimba
5 A. Husic
10 K. Imeri
33 M. Keller
11 E. Colley
61 J. Lüthi
42 L. Jetzer

Coach: J. Magnin

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
25 K. Adams D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
4 S. Rouiller M
5 G. Ondoua M
20 T. Magnin M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
22 U. Simbakoli F
Bench (7)
6 A. Baron
21 J. Guillemenot
31 T. Ouattara
27 E. Crivelli
23 S. Bouzamoucha
1 J. Mall
34 L. Srdanovic

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Cibelli · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.