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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Groningen
S S T T T
3–4
Full-time
Twente
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
3,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 17. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Nijmegen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Ajax 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Willem II 3 1 0 2 -4 3
11 Roda 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Zwolle 3 0 1 2 -7 1
16 Twente 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Groningen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Twente
23′
E. Ünal 0–1
C. Ede
Simon Tibbling 🟨
34′
36′
E. Ünal 0–2
H. Ziyech
39′
E. Ünal 0–3
C. Ede
Jesper Drost 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Yaw Yeboah
Half-time 0–3
M. van der Laan 🔁
↦ J. Antonia
46′
1–3 M. Mahi
52′
B. Linssen 🔁
↦ Jesper Drost
59′
Samir Memisevic 🟨
62′
D. Hoesen 🔁
↦ T. van Weert
68′
2–3 O. Idrissi
J. Davidson
69′
71′
🔁 J. Oosterwijk
↦ E. Ünal
77′
🔁 G. Katsikas
↦ C. Ede
3–3 D. Hoesen
84′
90′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ Y. Yeboah
92′
J. Oosterwijk 3–4
F. Jensen
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
2 J. Davidson M
33 H. Hateboer M
17 Jesper Drost M
22 S. Tibbling M
5 S. Memišević D
12 J. Bacuna M
19 T. van Weert F
7 J. Antonia F
14 M. Mahi M
45 O. Idrissi F
Bench (10)
21 M. van der Laan
11 B. Linssen
9 D. Hoesen
24 T. Hiariej
30 P. van der Vlag
10 A. Rusnák
16 S. van der Lei
20 Y. van Nieff
23 H. Maduro
13 A. Sørloth

Coach: E. Faber

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
3 J. Andersen D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 H. Ziyech M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
24 J. Oosterwijk
4 G. Katsikas
19 F. Jensen
12 T. Hölscher
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
28 J. van der Lely
20 S. Stevens

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.