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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
FC Emmen
U T T T T
0–5
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
5,8
Scored
1,0
5,2
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+4,5
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
0%
89%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
67%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
78%
33%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
1,2
4,1
Conceded
2,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+3,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

24% Possession 76%
3 Shots 27
1 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 12
3 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 17. · Ajax 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 8 0 1 +32 24
2 Vitesse 9 7 1 1 +12 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 6 2 1 +14 20
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
5 Twente 10 5 3 2 +10 18
6 Heerenveen 9 5 2 2 +5 17
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 5 0 +7 14
8 Groningen 9 4 2 3 -1 14
9 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Waalwijk 10 2 3 5 -8 9
11 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 2 4 -2 8
12 Zwolle 9 1 5 3 -5 8
13 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
14 Heracles 9 2 2 5 -9 8
15 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
16 Den Haag 9 1 1 7 -18 4
17 FC Emmen 9 0 3 6 -11 3
18 For Sittard 9 0 3 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Ajax
20′
D. Klaassen 0–1
L. Traoré
29′
Z. Labyad 0–2
D. Klaassen
38′
L. Traoré 0–3
Antony
Half-time 0–3
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ A. Jansen
46′
46′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ L. Traoré
46′
🔁 Q. Promes
↦ D. Tadić
58′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Antony
58′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ R. Gravenberch
69′
J. Ekkelenkamp 0–4
72′
🔁 D. Rensch
↦ N. Mazraoui
M. Kolar 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
75′
H. Ben Moussa 🔁
↦ M. Chacón
75′
79′
🟨 Sean Klaiber
82′
Q. Promes 0–5
David Neres
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-4-2
1 F. Wiedwald G
22 C. Cavlan D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp M
23 G. Bijl D
8 M. de Leeuw F
7 S. Tibbling M
20 M. Chacón M
6 A. Jansen F
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (8)
17 D. Avdijaj
9 M. Kolar
21 H. Ben Moussa
26 D. Telgenkamp
93 S. van der Lei
4 N. Bakker
18 D. Granečný
15 L. Caciano

Coach: D. Lukkien

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
5 S. Klaiber D
12 N. Mazraoui D
3 P. Schuurs D
21 L. Martínez D
19 Z. Labyad M
6 D. Klaassen M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić F
23 L. Traoré F
39 Antony F
Bench (9)
9 K. Huntelaar
11 Q. Promes
7 David Neres
18 J. Ekkelenkamp
15 D. Rensch
31 N. Tagliafico
1 M. Stekelenburg
4 E. Álvarez
16 K. Scherpen

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,25
U
7,09
B ✓
1,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.