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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

AZ Alkmaar

U U U S S

1–0

Full-time

FC Emmen

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,7

3,5

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

86%

75%

Both score Ø 80%

71%

88%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

1,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

24 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

15 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 8. · FC Emmen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+32	24
2	Vitesse	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+12	20
5	Twente	9	5	3	1	+12	18
6	Heerenveen	9	5	2	2	+5	17
7	Groningen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	5	0	+6	11
9	Utrecht	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	-2	8
11	Zwolle	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	VVV Venlo	9	2	2	5	-14	8
15	Waalwijk	9	1	3	5	-10	6
16	Den Haag	9	1	1	7	-18	4
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	For Sittard	9	0	3	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Twente	5	3	2	0	+8	11
5	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Groningen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	+2	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
15	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+16	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Heerenveen	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
11	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-13	3
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	FC Emmen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.