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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Willem II

T U T T U

1–3

Full-time

Zwolle

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 15%

12%

18%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

65%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Zwolle 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	2	2	+45	41
2	Vitesse	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	4	2	+22	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	7	1	+16	34
5	Feyenoord	15	10	3	2	+19	33
6	Groningen	16	9	3	4	+4	30
7	Twente	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Heerenveen	17	5	7	5	-1	22
9	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-2	20
10	Utrecht	15	4	7	4	-2	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Heracles	17	5	3	9	-9	18
13	Zwolle	17	3	8	6	-9	17
14	VVV Venlo	17	4	4	9	-18	16
15	Waalwijk	17	3	5	9	-14	14
16	Willem II	17	2	4	11	-16	10
17	Den Haag	17	2	4	11	-25	10
18	FC Emmen	17	0	5	12	-28	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+20	22
2	Vitesse	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Groningen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Willem II	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3
18	Den Haag	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	7	5	0	2	+2	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Den Haag	9	2	2	5	-13	8
12	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-13	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-7	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.