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Eredivisie

Referee: Rob Dieperink

Willem II

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Zwolle

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

5,5

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

41%

34%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

69%

52%

Both score Ø 52%

66%

38%

Average goals

3,8

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 7. · Zwolle 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	24	2	4	+78	74
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	23	5	2	+66	74
3	Feyenoord	30	17	5	8	+28	56
4	AZ Alkmaar	30	15	7	8	+22	52
5	Heracles	28	14	3	11	+2	45
6	Utrecht	26	11	7	8	+6	40
7	Willem II	29	12	4	13	-8	40
8	Groningen	27	11	5	11	+1	38
9	Vitesse	26	9	10	7	+7	37
10	Heerenveen	29	9	9	11	-7	36
11	Den Haag	30	9	9	12	-11	36
12	Zwolle	29	10	5	14	-7	35
13	VVV Venlo	30	9	7	14	-19	34
14	For Sittard	30	8	7	15	-24	31
15	FC Emmen	30	7	8	15	-34	29
16	De Graafschap	30	7	5	18	-27	26
17	Excelsior	30	7	5	18	-34	26
18	NAC Breda	30	5	7	18	-39	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+47	43
2	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+52	41
3	Feyenoord	15	13	0	2	+28	39
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	3	3	+18	30
5	Heracles	14	10	0	4	+14	30
6	Groningen	14	8	1	5	+7	25
7	Vitesse	13	6	6	1	+7	24
8	For Sittard	15	6	5	4	+6	23
9	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
10	VVV Venlo	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
13	De Graafschap	15	5	3	7	-1	18
14	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
15	Willem II	14	5	2	7	-5	17
16	NAC Breda	15	4	5	6	-8	17
17	Heerenveen	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	FC Emmen	15	3	5	7	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	0	4	+26	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	4	2	+19	31
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+2	22
6	Utrecht	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Feyenoord	15	4	5	6	+0	17
8	Den Haag	15	4	5	6	-6	17
9	Zwolle	14	5	2	7	-8	17
10	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-12	15
11	FC Emmen	15	4	3	8	-23	15
12	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
13	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	4	8	-18	13
15	Excelsior	15	2	2	11	-23	8
16	De Graafschap	15	2	2	11	-26	8
17	For Sittard	15	2	2	11	-30	8
18	NAC Breda	15	1	2	12	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.