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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Willem II

S T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Ajax

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

4,3

Scored

1,3

3,7

Conceded

2,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+3,0

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

15%

85%

Points per game

0,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

69%

85%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

3,4

4,6

Scored

1,2

3,9

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+3,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

26% Possession 74%

10 Shots 32

5 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 10

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 12

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	0	2	+42	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Vitesse	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+13	26
5	Groningen	13	8	2	3	+4	26
6	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+14	24
7	Twente	14	7	3	4	+8	24
8	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+4	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	2	6	+1	17
10	Utrecht	12	3	6	3	-3	15
11	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
12	For Sittard	14	3	4	7	-12	13
13	Heracles	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Waalwijk	14	3	3	8	-13	12
15	VVV Venlo	14	2	3	9	-22	9
16	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-14	8
17	Den Haag	13	1	4	8	-20	7
18	FC Emmen	14	0	5	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
6	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
14	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Den Haag	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+23	15
3	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
12	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
13	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-12	5
14	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
17	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.