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Eredivisie
Referee: Erwin Blank
Willem II
S S S U S
0–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
26%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
53%
84%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Willem II 4. · Zwolle 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +43 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 14 2 4 +27 44
3 Feyenoord 20 10 7 3 +8 37
4 Willem II 19 11 3 5 +7 36
5 PSV Eindhoven 19 10 5 4 +19 35
6 Vitesse 20 10 4 6 +10 34
7 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
8 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
9 Heracles 20 7 5 8 +3 26
10 Groningen 19 7 5 7 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 FC Emmen 20 6 4 10 -13 22
13 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
14 For Sittard 20 5 5 10 -21 20
15 VVV Venlo 20 6 1 13 -26 19
16 Zwolle 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Den Haag 20 4 4 12 -20 16
18 Waalwijk 20 3 2 15 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Zwolle
Pol Llonch 🟨
28′
Freek Heerkens 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
Half-time 0–0
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ M. Nelom
46′
72′
🔁 B. van Polen
↦ R. Strieder
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ D. Saddiki
74′
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
74′
78′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ L. Thy
79′
🟥 Thomas Lam
85′
🟨 Bram Van Polen
Sebastian Holmen 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 V. van Crooij
↦ M. van Duinen
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
18 M. Nelom D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
15 D. Dankerlui
16 M. Vrousai
9 P. Gladon
14 E. Kabangu
27 V. van den Bogert
33 R. Zuijderwijk
22 João Queirós
12 M. Woud
23 G. Sağlam
13 G. Strezos

Coach: A. Koster

Zwolle

5-3-2
16 M. Zetterer G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer D
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (12)
2 B. van Polen
17 D. Johnsen
7 V. van Crooij
19 R. Dekker
23 E. Reijnen
32 J. Koorman
40 M. Hauptmeijer
30 D. Huiberts
29 D. Lachman
31 S. van Wermeskerken
1 X. Mous
8 R. Ghoochannejhad

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U ✓
4,24
B
4,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Erwin Blank · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.