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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
Zwolle
U S T U S
1–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
50%
86%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
79%
Average goals
2,7
4,1
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
5 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 11. · AZ Alkmaar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 11 1 2 +42 34
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 3 1 +22 33
3 Vitesse 14 9 2 3 +12 29
4 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 +17 27
5 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 6 1 +13 27
6 Twente 15 8 3 4 +11 27
7 Groningen 14 8 2 4 +3 26
8 Heerenveen 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 +1 17
10 Utrecht 13 3 7 3 -3 16
11 Zwolle 14 3 7 4 -6 16
12 Heracles 14 4 3 7 -9 15
13 For Sittard 14 3 4 7 -12 13
14 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 -14 12
15 Den Haag 15 2 4 9 -21 10
16 Willem II 14 2 3 9 -14 9
17 VVV Venlo 14 2 3 9 -22 9
18 FC Emmen 15 0 5 10 -21 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
1–0 P. Clement
E. Reijnders
9′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Nakayama 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
46′
T. Lam 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
60′
60′
🔁 Z. Aboukhlal
↦ B. Martins Indi
67′
F. Midtsjø 1–1
J. Drost 🔁
↦ D. Huiberts
74′
Sam Kersten 🟨
80′
C. Leemans 🔁
↦ P. Clement
82′
85′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ J. Karlsson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement F
23 E. Reijnders F
30 D. Huiberts M
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (12)
4 Y. Nakayama
3 T. Lam
11 J. Drost
10 C. Leemans
21 S. Lagsir
17 D. Chirino
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
25 I. Pherai
16 X. Mous
40 M. Hauptmeijer
20 T. van den Belt
36 M. Doue

Coach: J. Stegeman

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
15 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
26 Y. Sugawara D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
24 T. Reijnders M
11 J. Karlsson F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (10)
17 Z. Aboukhlal
14 F. Druijf
21 K. Goudmijn
28 A. Guðmundsson
18 H. Evjen
40 M. Gullit
27 R. Leeuwin
16 H. Verhulst
30 M. Bakker
4 R. Vlaar

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,32
U ✓
4,14
B
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.