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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
VVV Venlo
S T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Twente
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
83%
58%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 15. · Twente 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 10 0 2 +40 30
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 8 3 1 +16 27
3 Vitesse 12 8 2 2 +13 26
4 Groningen 13 8 2 3 +4 26
5 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 +15 24
6 Twente 12 6 3 3 +9 21
7 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 5 1 +9 20
8 Heerenveen 12 5 5 2 +5 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 2 6 -1 14
10 Zwolle 13 2 7 4 -8 13
11 Waalwijk 12 3 3 6 -9 12
12 Utrecht 10 2 5 3 -4 11
13 Heracles 12 2 3 7 -11 9
14 For Sittard 12 2 3 7 -13 9
15 VVV Venlo 12 2 3 7 -18 9
16 Willem II 12 2 2 8 -12 8
17 Den Haag 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 FC Emmen 13 0 5 8 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Twente
27′
Danilo 0–1
V. Černý
40′
🟨 Luka Ilić
Half-time 0–1
Z. Machach 🔁
↦ J. John
46′
63′
L. Ilić 0–2
1–2 E. Linthorst
70′
Lukas Schmitz 🟨
75′
Vito van Crooy 🟨
78′
S. van Dijck 🔁
↦ L. Schmitz
81′
85′
🟨 Danilo
86′
🔁 D. Dumić
↦ L. Ilić
88′
🔁 A. Jeremejeff
↦ Danilo
92′
🔁 H. Dervişoğlu
↦ V. Černý
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-1-2
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
26 L. Schmitz D
2 T. Pachonik D
5 S. Schäfer D
6 D. Post M
21 E. Linthorst M
12 J. John M
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij M
25 J. Arias F
Bench (12)
8 Z. Machach
18 S. van Dijck
24 W. Essanoussi
22 B. Verbong
23 N. S'rifi
19 Y. Roemer
27 T. Hunte
7 G. Hupperts
9 A. Ćorić
16 D. van Crooij
17 T. Dekker
29 L. Nabbe

Coach: H. de Koning

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
6 W. Brama M
20 G. Roemeratoe M
8 L. Ilić M
11 Q. Menig F
7 V. Černý F
9 Danilo F
Bench (12)
43 D. Dumić
14 A. Jeremejeff
21 H. Dervişoğlu
19 R. Zerrouki
24 N. Markelo
35 M. Hilgers
32 J. Bosch
22 J. de Lange
5 G. Smal
18 L. Selahi
30 E. van der Gouw
10 L. Lamprou

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,94
U
4,09
B ✓
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.