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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
0–0
Full-time
Utrecht
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
45%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Half-time 0–0
Tom Beugelsdijk 🟨
50′
Adil Auassar 🟨
52′
52′
🟨 Adam Maher
R. Kharchouch 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
59′
60′
🔁 T. St. Jago
↦ H. ter Avest
60′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ E. Elia
60′
🔁 S. Gustafson
↦ S. van de Streek
M. Pinto 🔁
↦ A. Meijers
67′
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ M. Engels
67′
76′
🟨 Othman Boussaid
78′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ A. Maher
78′
🔁 U. Emanuelson
↦ O. Boussaid
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
84′
Dirk Abels 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans F
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
Bench (11)
17 R. Kharchouch
15 M. Pinto
19 E. Emegha
16 D. Duarte
12 Jeffry Fortes
14 M. Heylen
21 D. Vianello
20 B. van Leer
30 M. Fabrie
13 W. Burger
18 D. Gravenberch

Coach: H. Fraser

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
11 E. Elia F
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (11)
25 T. St. Jago
9 Adrián Dalmau
10 S. Gustafson
29 M. Sylla
28 U. Emanuelson
17 B. Benamar
1 M. Paes
30 R. Balk
16 T. Nijhuis
3 J. Hoogma
13 E. Bergström

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U ✓
3,70
B
2,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.